Pick
(841) Mt. St. Mary's
Analysis
Mount St. Mary’s applies to a very good 113-58 ATS (66.1%) contrarian system that invests on certain road underdogs of ten points or more coming off three consecutive games in which they fell short of market expectations by eighteen or more combined points versus teams that have gone under the total by 48 or more combined points in their past seven games. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70%) since 2017 and 34-15 ATS (69.4%) over the last three seasons. Since 1997, college basketball road underdogs (or pick) with same-season revenge are 480-340 ATS (58.5%) following consecutive double-digit losses to conference opponents, including 86-61 ATS over the last three seasons. Over that same period, road underdogs priced between 10 and 19.5 points playing with same-season revenge are 279-185 ATS (60.1%) following back-to-back blowout conference losses, including 55-25 (68.8%) over the last three seasons. With Quinnipiac standing at just 7-22 ATS off consecutive games as a home favorite (since 1997) and 1-6-2 ATS in its nine home games versus teams with a .399 or worse road record, grab the points with the Mountaineers and invest with confidence. **Conference Game of Month**

Pick
(567) Orlando Magic
Analysis
We wonder if the ghost of Don Dunphy might be better served to do play-by-play of Orlando games that have occasionally had more elements of pugilism in recent weeks, such as Friday night's brawl against the T-wolves in a game the Magic won. Mo Bamba and Jalen Suggs were thrown out at the Target Center (as were Austin Rivers, Jaden McDaniels, and Taurean Price on the T-wolves side), with possible suspensions in the offing. But it was also another road win in the ongoing ascent for Orlando, which also won at Philly earlier in this road swing when Joel Embiid was in the lineup for the Sixers. Most impressive perhaps for Jamahl Mosley was the bench (which included Suggs) producing a big 72 points at Minnesota, and Bol Bol filling in nicely for the temporarily sidelined Wendell Carter, Jr (plantar fascia strain; could be available on Sunday) with 14 points. Note that the Magic were in the early throes of a 1-11 slump when losing at Amway Center to the Hornets back on Nov. 14 , when Charlotte ended an eight-game skid of its own as all starters scored in double digits. But the Hornets come home after a couple of lackluster efforts in losses at Chicago and Detroit, with frustration boiling over for LaMelo Ball when he was ejected late in the game for arguing with the refs in the limp effort vs. the Bulls. And the looming trade deadline early in the week could be more of a distraction for Charlotte, more likely to be a seller, with Miles Plumlee, Jalen McDaniels, and soon-to-return Kelly Oubre, Jr among those names being most prominently floated thru the deadline rumor mill. Paly Magic

Pick
Under
Analysis
We can never be sure what they really are thinking in Berkeley, but judging from what we know of the local populace, Cal might be satisfied with mere moral victories these days, or else beleaguered HC Mark Fox would have walked the plank several weeks ago. So even when the Golden Bears score only 46 points it can almost feel like a win when the result isn't humiliating, as was the case on Thursday in Boulder when cold-shooting Colorado could only score 59. But we wouldn't count upon Cal even clearing that low bar again on this road trip after managing only 43 points the last time the Bears faced the Utes on Dec. 29 at Haas Pavilion. And we're not sure where the points are going to come from at the Huntsman Center now that top scorer Texas transfer G Devin Askew (15.5 ppg), who has played just once in the last month while dealing with ankle soreness and illness, is now done for the season after sports-hernia surgery, and not sure the status of the other priced transfer, G DeJuan Clayton, who wasn't available vs. the Buffs due to his own illness. Mind, this is an offense that scores only 59.6 ppg (ranks 348) with Askew available for more than half of the season. So, this doesn't seem like a fair fight vs. the Utes, who still think they can make a run at a Big Dance at-large berth with a fast finish, and Utah wasn't even that sharp in the first meeting when it hit only 3 of 19 triples yet still cruised by 15. By a good margin, Utes seven-footer Branden Carlson (16.7 ppg) is the best weapon on the floor. Play Cal - Utah "Under"

Pick
(578) Minnesota Timberwolves
Analysis
Play - Minnesota Timberwolves (Game 578). Edges - Timberwolves: 7-0 ATS off an ATS loss versus foe coming off an ATS win; and 7-2 SU and 6-2 ATS at home off a SU home favorite loss, including 6-0 SUATS when coming off a loss of 12 or fewer points … Nuggets: 0-5 ATS last five games in this series; and 0-6 ATS away off a home win with no rest versus foe seeking revenge … With Denver coming off a 128-108 home revenge win over Atlanta last night, and the Wolves off a 127-120 home loss against Orlando on Friday, that, we recommend a 3* play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always. **Selection ratings are: 1* free play, 2* quality opinion play, 3* top quality selection, 4* top quality strong selection, 5* top quality exceptional selection, 10* top quality highest rated selection. Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service. > Look: Marc’s Awesome Angle winning side in Super Bowl 57 is locked and loaded with terrific winning situations inside the game that are 100% ATS. Don’t miss the winner of this year’s Super Bowl game - get it not, you’ll be glad you did!

Pick
(853) Houston
Analysis
10* Houston (AAC GOY) I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports

Pick
Under
Analysis
10* UNDER Stade Reims/Auxerre (Ligue 1 TOY) Reims is in form while Auxerre is struggling right now. I look for Reims to sit back and wait for Auxerre to make the first mistake, and because of that, I'm expecting a lower-scoring "under" in this one. Reims is currently on a 13-game unbeaten streak. Last weekend Will Still led his team to a 1-1 tie with Paris Saint-Germain. Auxerre has lost seven straight. Auxerre plays better at home than on the road, but it hasn't found the back of the net in its last two in front of the home town crowd. I think it'll struggle again as well here; this one has "under" written all over it! AAA Sports

Pick
(858) Colorado
Analysis
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. We lost with Stanford on Thursday as the Cardinal have all of a sudden come to life as they have won five straight games. the first four came at home prior to the win at Utah but winning back-to-back games on this particular trip is not easy even for the elite teams. This will be their second game in three days in the thin air and that could pose a problem as a lot of teams have struggled in the second game of this Pac 12 roadtrip in the past. The victory over the Utes was the first true road win for Stanford as they started 0-4 and three of those were against losing conference teams. Colorado falls into that group as it comes into this game 5-8 in the Pac 12 and we are seeing a curious number here as the Buffaloes are laying the same amount that Utah did despite the Utes being three games better in the Pac 12 and while the value seems to be on Stanford based on that, we are going contrarian as there is more to it. The Buffaloes are 10-2 at home following a win over California and while they did not cover, they still won by 13 points and another contrarian angle is the fact they are 0-6-1 ATS over their last seven games. 10* (858) Colorado Buffaloes

Pick
(827) Depaul
Analysis
This is a play on the DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS for our CBB Sunday Ultimate Underdog. DePaul has lost four straight games and failed to cover any of those following a pair of home losses against Connecticut and Marquette. One of those recent losses came at Providence, which is two games better than Seton Hall, and the Blue Demons were getting a bucket less there so the markets have adjusted and it looks to be way too much. DePaul is just 2-7 on the road but it was able to cover its only road game when getting double digits. Seton Hall has won two straight games and six of its last seven to move to 7-5 in the Big East Conference which is good for fifth place and a game out of fourth. The last two wins came against two of the four worst teams in the conference and while DePaul falls into that group, this is a much different spot as the Pirates have a lookahead game on deck against 8-3 Creighton, who they lost to in the first meeting by 22 points so there is also a revenge lookahead. This is the first home game of the season playing a team with a losing record so the unknown is how they react with a big game on deck and we say not well. 10* (827) DePaul Blue Demons

Pick
(830) Richmond
Analysis
This is a play on the RICHMOND SPIDERS for our CBB Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Fordham is the biggest surprise in the Atlantic Ten Conference as the Rams are 18-4 overall including a 6-3 record in the conference which has them at No. 4 in the standings. They are coming off a home upset over 7-3 St. Louis on Tuesday which has been their only real quality win with Tulane nonconference win being a second one and overall, Fordham has played the No. 308 ranked schedule in the country. The Rams are 4-2 on the road compared to 14-2 at home so it has been a very home favored schedule and this will be a big test. Richmond does not qualify as a quality as it is now one game under .500 following four straight losses and going back, the Spiders have failed to cover six straight games and there has been an adjustment in the line because of that. They are 9-3 at home with two of the losses coming against 9-2 VCU and 7-4 St. Bonaventure in the conference and the nonconference loss coming by three points against Wichita St. of the AAC. The recent stretch has put them into the bottom half of the conference but they are just a game out of fifth place so there is plenty of time for a run. 10* (830) Richmond Spiders

Pick
(855) Northwestern
Analysis
Big 10 action has Northwestern hitting the road for a game at Wisconsin. Northwestern is 7th in the Big 12 with a 6-5 conference record and 15-7 overall mark. Wisconsin is tied with Northwestern in conference play with a 5-6 mark and a 13-8 overall record. Northwestern looks to snap a two-game losing streak here today after dropping back-to-back games to Iowa and last time out to Michigan, 51-68, as a 3.5-point favorite. The WildCats are 3-2 ATS their last five games. Wisconsin snapped a three game losing streak with a win at Ohio State last game, 65-60, as a 7.5-point dog. Still, the Badgers are just 2-6 S/U their last eight games and 1-10 ATS their last 11 games. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last six home games. Have to go against this bad covering Wisconsin team here today who is laying some points in this contest. Play Northwestern.

Pick
(858) Colorado
Analysis
Stanford comes into Boulder on a five-game win streak, but one of those wins was out of conference (Chicago State) and they also beat the bottom two teams in the Pac 12 (Cal and Oregon State). So I’m not all that impressed with what I’ve seen from the Cardinal recently. Colorado is a team that has been struggling; they’ve won just two of their last seven games while going 1-6 ATS. But almost all of their losses have been close and to top teams in the conference. I like the Buffaloes here as they’ve already gone on the road and beat Stanford 73-70 as a 2-point underdog. They did so despite making nine fewer free throws. This will also be Stanford’s second road game of the week. Credit them for pulling an upset in Utah Thursday, 78-72 as a six-point underdog, but that was also their first true road win of the season. (They’ve only played five!) Colorado hasn’t been very good as a favorite, but they are 10-2 SU at home and this is a pretty short number. 8*

Pick
(574) New York Knicks
Analysis
Philadelphia has won 9 of 10 and just beat San Antonio 137-125 as a 10-point favorite on Friday. New York has won just 3 of 10 after losing in overtime last night, 134-128 to the Clippers, as a 2.5-point home underdog. Despite those recent streaks, and this being the second night of a back to back, I’m siding with the Knicks on Sunday. I believe NY can exploit a Philly defense that has actually gotten worse while the team has been winning. In five of the last six games, the Sixers have allowed 119 or more points. The one exception was Wednesday’s home win over Orlando, who missed 32 of their 38 attempts from three. The Knicks’ 12-13 SU home record seems a bit misleading as they’ve scored more points than they’ve allowed. I know they were down 17 in the 4Q last night, before making a furious rally to force OT. But we’re also getting points here, which I like, as NY is 6-1 ATS its last seven games vs. teams with a win percentage of .600 or greater. 10*

Pick
(827) Depaul
Analysis
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Seton Hall. The Blue Demons were routed by UConn, 90-76, on Tuesday. And that was their 4th straight loss (both SU and ATS). We'll take DePaul to bounce back off that blowout defeat, as Big East Conference teams have gone 194-132 ATS as road underdogs of +3 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss, if they're matched up against a Big East Conference foe off a SU/ATS win. Even better: the Blue Demons are 12-3-1 ATS away from home off back to back ATS losses. Take DePaul + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(830) Richmond
Analysis
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham. The Spiders come into this Atlantic 10 game off 4 straight losses, while Fordham is on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak after it won back to back home games to wrap up January. We'll go against the Rams this afternoon, as they're a wallet-breaking 5-15 ATS away from home off back to back home wins, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a loss. Even worse: they've won just 1 of the previous 19 meetings vs. the Spiders. Take Richmond to blow out Fordham. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(841) Mt. St. Mary's
Analysis
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over Quinnipiac. The Bobcats and Mountaineers met earlier this season in Emmitsburg, and the Bobcats prevailed, 58-51, as a 6-point road favorite. Quinnipiac is laying a bigger number this afternoon, and we'll take Mount St Mary's + the points in a revenge role. Admittedly, the Mountaineers aren't playing their best ball of late. They're 3-9 in league play, and lost by 30 points at Iona on Friday, which was their 3rd straight loss. But the Bobcats are a horrid 7-28 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if such foe owned a losing conference record. And they're 19-30-3 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season, including 3-9-2 ATS if the Bobcats were off back to back wins. Take Mount St. Mary's as a big underdog this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(574) New York Knicks
Analysis
Philadelphia at New York 6:00 ET Knicks (+) over 76ers-Ive said it a number of times and that is I hate to play against Joel and the 76ers and I hate to play on the New York Knicks. After bowling a 20-point lead to Orlando the 76ers have won two straight following an eight game winning streak. New York fell in OT to the Clippers yesterday and have now dropped 3-of-4 and 7-of-10. The Sixers as I have said are tough to beat and are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in New York. But, the Knicks are 19-7-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back games and are 6-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of at least 60%. Take NEW YORK!

Pick
(855) Northwestern
Analysis
Northwestern at Wisconsin 6:30 ET Wildcats (+)v over Badgers- One huge difference between this years Wisconsin teams of the past 22 of the last 23 made it to the Big Dance and this season they probably will fall short because of their offensive woes. Even in their 65-60 victory at Ohio State on Thursday they went the final 7:18 without scoring a field goal. The Wildcats who have made only one NCAA Tournament appearance in 2017 have 15 wins and snapped their seven game losing streak against Wisconsin with a 66-63 home win over the Badgers and havent swept the series since 1996 (Jeters rookie year). The fact of the matter is that the Wildcats player better defense and shoot the ball better and get the win here. Badgers are 1-7 ATS against teams with winning records. Take NORTHWESTERN!

Pick
(571) Toronto Raptors
Analysis
Toronto at Memphis 6:00 ET Raptors (+) over Grizzlies- When it rain it pours as they say and Memphis feels like they have been overwhelmed by the great flood as injuries have played a major part in their swoon losing seven of eight while playing hurt. Now, they will be without Dillion Brooks who was really a bad boy hitting Donovan Mitchell and will serve a one-game (this game) suspension. The Raptors have injury issues of their own and will be playing their seventh straight road game and are 3-3 but they are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings including 5-0 ATS in Memphis. Take TORONTO!

Pick
(834) Michigan
Analysis
This is a 2* play on MICH. The Wolverines are in the middle of the pack in the BIG10, and they will host an Ohio State team that appears to be in a downward spiral. The Buckeyes have lost eight of their last nine overall and five straight on the road. They also failed to cover in every single one of those losses. They come in with a 1-6 road record, averaging just 67.4 points in those games. Michigan has an 8-3 home record, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of eight points in those games. GL, Jesse Schule

Pick
(571) Toronto Raptors
Analysis
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule

Pick
(306614) Maine
Analysis
Maine takes the floor with legitimate revenge after suffering an 85-77 loss at UMBC last month, which is significant in that the Black Bears are 8-2 ATS when playing with revenge this season. The Black Bears have been much better at home (5-3 SU & 4-2 ATS) this season where they are averaging 81.6 points per game on 49.6% shooting from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc. I also like the fact that Maine is one of the better free throw shooting teams in the country, converting 74.3% of its attempts at the charity stripe, including 77.9% at home. With Maine standing at 9-2 ATS in its last eleven games versus .601 or greater opposition, grab the points with the Black Bears and invest with confidence. **America East Conference Game of Week**

Pick
(306628) Austin Peay
Analysis
My math model only favors Queens by 2.64 points in this game and the Royals fall into a very negative 14-39 ATS system that invests against certain road favorites (or pick) from Game 15 out that are averaging 76.0 or more points per game following a loss by six or fewer points. This situation is 6-16 ATS over the last three seasons. Finally, Queens is 2-7-2 ATS in its last eleven games overall, including 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road affairs. With Austin Peay standing at 5-2 ATS in its last seven games versus .601 or greater opposition, grab the points with the Governors and invest with confidence. **Off Shore Steam Play**

Pick
(778) Idaho State
Analysis
My math model makes this game a toss-up and Weber State applies to a very negative 14-40 ATS system that invests against certain avenging road teams with priced between +3 and -3 following a road loss (but ATS win as underdogs) with revenge. These teams have failed to cover the spread by an average margin of 5.2 points per game and are 2-12 ATS over the last five seasons. With Idaho State standing at 5-0 ATS after scoring 90 or more points in its previous game, take the Bengals and invest with confidence. **Big Sky Game of Month**

Pick
(562) Chicago Bulls
Analysis
Since 1996, NBA underdogs off two or more consecutive upset wins as road underdogs are just 40-80 ATS in the second half of the season, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -9.2 points per game. This situation is 8-20 ATS over the last five seasons. Over that same span, unrested NBA underdogs off two or more consecutive upset wins as road underdogs are 29-60 ATS, failing to cover the spread by an average of -8.3 points per game. This situation is 3-8 ATS over the last five years. Since 2017, NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that went under the total by thirteen or more combined points in their last two games are 42-15 ATS (73.7%), covering the number by an average of +11.6 points per game. Finally, Portland is 2-8 ATS in its last ten road affairs, whereas the Bulls are 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen games off a win and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten home games. Lay the points with Chicago and invest with confidence. **Fortune 500 Play**

Pick
Over
Analysis
Not sure if this was how program benefactor Jerry Colangelo was expecting Grand Canyon to gain some notoriety, but everyone in sports books form the Meadowlands to Biloxi to Reno knows by now that the Lopes are on pace for a Joe DiMaggio-like streak of "over" results...13 in a row, to be exact. Interestingly, Bryce Drew's guys aren't doing it the way Jerry Tarkanian's early days UNLV of the mid 70s went about by runnin 'n'gunnin; in fact, GCU hasn't had a "total" posted higher than 140.5 all season. The first meeting vs. SFA at Nacogdoches bock on January 7 was a typical scoreline in the streak as "Steve" would score a 73-68 triumph that handily cleared the posted 134.5 of that Saturday afternoon. Nothing especially remarkable about the proceedings after the Jacks took charge midway in the second half, though note that 17 points were scored in the last minute as the Lopes attempted to extend the game, a crucial component in "over" results and something Drew unhesitatingly employs, as GCU will continue to foul in the last minute if there's even the slightest hope of recovery. That's helped some of these scorelines get "over" as much as Drew's balanced offense featuring G Rayshon Holmes (16.4 ppg). Five straight spread Ls for GCU has us thinking twice about backing the home side, and SFA had dropped only one of iots previous ten vs. the line before a mild upset loss at Las Cruces vs. a struggling NMSU on Wednesday. But if GCU is involved, it's an "over" for us. Play SFA-Grand Canyon "Over"

Pick
(553) Los Angeles Clippers
Analysis
Tough loss on Thursday for the Clips at Milwaukee but the pieces are in place and most hands are on deck for tonight at MSG. Tom Thibodeau's defense faltered against the Lake Show a few nights ago and could be minus key G Jalen Brunson tonight. Note Knicks only 8-15-1 vs. spread at MSG this season. Play Clippers

Pick
(24402) Sergey Spivak
Analysis
6* Spivak (SPECIAL) Lewis is ranked No. 7 in the heavyweight division despite losing his last two fights. Spivak is now moving the opposite direction, as he's won five of his last six fights, moving his way up to No. 12. This is a "must win" for Lewis, but this is a huge fight for Spivak, which will give him the credibility he would need to move closer to a title shot. Lewis is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here, and I actually feel this line could easily be much higher. Lewis has been exposed after losses to Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich. Spivak is undervalued here after an impressive second-round TKO win over Augusto Sakai last time out at UFC Vegas 59; lay the price, the play is Spivak! AAA Sports

Pick
(560) New Orleans Pelicans
Analysis
10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOY) The Lakers end their five-game road trip here. They lost the first two games against the Celtics and Nets, but then they've bounced back with back-to-back victories. Most recently it was a come from behind 112-111 victory at the Pacers. I think LA will get caught "looking ahead" here to a couple days off. New Orleans on the other hand is out to snap a ten-game losing streak. This is almost a "do or die" scenario for the Pels. They also play with the added incentive of "revenge" after falling 120-117 in OT as 3.5 point favorite in LA back in November. This is a great "situational" play; the pick is on New Orleans! AAA Sports

Pick
Under
Analysis
10* UNDER Westham/Newcastle (EPL TOW) Both teams really need a win here, for entirely different reasons. Because of that though, I'm expecting a "war of attrition" here, where each sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Newcastle United is looking to strengthen its spot in the Top 4, while the Hammers are out to win B2B games for just the second time this season. The Magpies are off a 2-1 win at St. Mary's. They've been fantastic defensively, posting a league-high 12 clean sheets, while also not conceding a goal in their last six top-flight matches. Westham beat Everton 2-0 last week, and then also beat Derby County at the FA Cup on Monday night. Expect the Hammers to carry over their recent up-tick in defensive play as well. All things considered, I think this total is high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports

Pick
(24414) Doo Ho Choi
Analysis
6* Doo Ho Choi (SPECIAL) Doo-Ho Choi is an exciting featherweight that hasn't fought in the promotion since 2019. This is a make or break fight for the once up and coming fighter, who has lost his last three fights. Here's the perfect target to get back on track against. Kyle Nelson, who has lost his last two fights. Doo-Ho Choi has the skills to bounce back. Although Nelson has fought more recently, I still give the nod to Choi here. Lay the price with confidence on the "better" fighter; the play is Doo Ho Choi! AAA Sports

Pick
(553) Los Angeles Clippers
Analysis
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Clippers are coming off a tough loss on Thursday against Milwaukee as they lost by a point after blowing a 21-point second half lead. The starting five was abysmal as they shot just 40 percent from the floor and scored only 15 more points combined than Giannis Antetokounmpo put up by himself. Los Angeles still has been playing well as it has won six of its last eight games and is currently in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, one game behind Dallas for the last home court position. New York snapped a two-game slide with an outright win over Miami as it got the cash for us but is in a precarious spot with a game against rival Philadelphia tomorrow. They moved to a game under .500 at home and as mentioned on Thursday, they are under .500 at MSG and they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. Part of that play was the fact that Miami has been overvalued all season while the Clippers have not been as they have taken care of business when they are supposed to as they have won 11 of 15 games on the season as road favorites. Here, we play against home underdogs after a close win by three points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 96-55 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (553) Los Angeles Clippers

Pick
(694) Indiana
Analysis
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. Purdue remains the top team in the country and it has widened the gap between it and the next group but now comes its first road test since a one-point win over Michigan St. on January 16. The Boilermakers are 22-1 including a 6-0 record on the road with the lone defeat coming at home by a point against Rutgers right before running off nine straight wins. Four of their six road wins have been by a combined 10 points and this is the toughest environment of them all. Indiana had a five-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Maryland on Tuesday by 11 points to fall to 6-5 in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers are one of 10 teams within two games of each other between second and eleventh place so every game counts at this point and while this looks like a daunting task, it is doable. Indiana is 11-1 at home with the one loss coming against Northwestern by one point and this rivalry only adds to what will be an absolutely electric home crowd. 10* (694) Indiana Hoosiers

Pick
(712) Belmont
Analysis
This is a play on the BELMONT BRUINS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Belmont has lost two straight games to fall to 9-4 in the MVC which is still good for a tie for first place in the MVC with Drake, Southern Illinois and Bradley. This skid ended a seven-game winning streak for the Bruins and they are back home following three of their last four games coming on the road. The lone home game was an 18-point loss against Drake where they are 8-2, the only other home loss coming in overtime against Middle Tennessee St. and this is a great bounce back spot to keep pace. Illinois St. snapped a four-game losing streak with a pair of wins at home against Southern Illinois and Illinois-Chicago. The Redbirds head back on the road where they are 3-5 with all five of those losses coming within the conference with the only win coming against 0-13 Evansville. The other two victories were against Eastern Illinois of the Ohio Valley and Northwestern St. of the Southland by a combined seven points. 10* (712) Belmont Bruins

Pick
(822) Saint Marys Ca
Analysis
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Saturday Late Night Special. The West Coast Conference has gone through Gonzaga for years and this matchup has favored the Bulldogs as they have won eight of the previous nine meetings with St. Mary's winning on this floor last season. The Gaels have won 10 straight games following a bad home loss against Colorado St. and its four losses have come by a combined 15 points. They are playing their best basketball of the season and a win here puts them in position to win the regular season championship, which would be the first outright championship since 2011-12. Gonzaga has righted the ship with three straight wins following a rare home loss against Loyola-Marymount but that has shifted the Gaels to the favorite to win this conference. The other three losses have come against Texas, Purdue and Baylor so they are still winnings at a high level but one big disadvantage here it their defense as their efficiency is the worst since the 2005-06 season. 10* (822) St. Mary's Gaels

Pick
(566) Denver Nuggets
Analysis
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Atlanta last night and not only did the Jazz not come close to covering, they led by points only once throughout the whole games but we will go against the Hawks again tonight in the second of a back-to-back where they are just 2-5 this season. Atlanta has won two straight games as an underdog after losing the opener of this five-game roadtrip at Portland on Monday and they are now a game under .500 on the highway this season. The Hawks continue to maintain the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference. Denver has won two straight games after a pair of losses at Milwaukee and Philadelphia and going back, it has won 12 of its last 15 games. The Nuggets have taken advantage of that as well as every other team in the Western Conference going through recent struggles as they have a four-game lead in the conference over Memphis and 6.5-game lead over Sacramento. They have dominated at home in the thin air which has been one of the best home court advantages over recent years and this season they are 24-4 at home which is the best home record in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 58-22 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Denver Nuggets

Pick
(816) San Jose State
Analysis
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SPARTANS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. San Jose St. got shellacked by San Diego St. last Saturday to fall to 4-5 in the MWC which came after a 30-point home win over Air Force and the Spartans are back home in a good bounce back spot. They are 8-2 at home which includes a 3-1 record in the conference with the lone loss coming against 7-3 Nevada and the other home loss was very early in the season against 16-8 Hofstra. They are 2.5 games out of the top four spots in the conference and have a very favorable schedule to close the season. Wyoming won its second conference game of the season on Tuesday with a 23-point win over Fresno St. which was its second win in three games, the other being a one point win at home over Colorado St. The Cowboys hit the road against where they are winless as they are 0-4 and have even gone only 1-5 on a neutral floor so they have been awful away from home. Revenge is in play for San Jose St. from last season following a pair of double-digit losses. 10* (816) San Jose St. Spartans

Pick
(604) Virginia Tech
Analysis
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES as part of our CBB Saturday Afternoon Three Pack. Virginia Tech got off to a great start this season and got deep into the rankings and then things fell apart as the Hokies opened 11-1 that included an impressive win over North Carolina to open ACC action but then went on to lose its next seven games. Five of those were by four points or less and they rebounded with a pair of wins before suffering their most recent loss at Miami. They are back home where they are 10-2 and desperately need a quality win to get back into the NCAA Tournament hunt. Being a rivalry game and a revenge game after a 10-point loss last month only stirs the fire. Virginia continues to roll along as it has won seven straight games to improve to 9-2 in the ACC which is a half-game behind first place Clemson. The Cavaliers are in a very rare spot as an underdog as this is the first time they have gotten points since December 17 and that is a tell in what we are looking at here with the public backing the Cavaliers as expected. 10* (604) Virginia Tech Hokies

Pick
(680) South Carolina
Analysis
This is a play on the SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. South Carolina has lost six straight games and has fallen to 1-8 in the SEC with nowhere to go but up at this point and this is a good spot to improve upon its 1-5 ATS run over this stretch. The Gamecocks remain home where they are 6-5 and that does include five straight losses and non-covers so no one wants to part of this side but we will gladly jump on them here as the markets are over adjusting to the point of a line that its opponent has no business laying in this spot especially. Arkansas is coming off a big win over then 7-1 Texas A&M to improve to 4-5 in the SEC which is certainly not a record for a team to be laying nearly two touchdowns on the road. Compounding that is the fact that the Razorbacks are 0-5 on the road which includes losses at 1-8 LSU and 3-6 Vanderbilt and were laying nowhere near this number in those games. To top it off, Arkansas has Kentucky on deck Tuesday on the road as well so getting out with just a close win is all they need. 10* (680) South Carolina Gamecocks

Pick
Over
Analysis
Milwaukee scored only 106 in its last game, which is far from the norm for them. We're talking about a team that had previously scored 124 or more in six of eight games. The Bucks' offensive efficiency, over the last two weeks, is where you'd expect it to be. The Over is 14-8 this season in Bucks' games where the total is 220 or higher. I anticipate them scoring a ton tonight. Now Miami only scored 104 points in its last game. They've topped 110 just once in the last seven games, however, I think we can expect more than normal tonight given the Bucks' involvement. Two head to head meetings in January failed to produce more than 210 points. Neither Giannis Antetokounmpo nor Khris Middleton played in those games though. Take the Over. 10*

Pick
(792) New Mexico State
Analysis
New Mexico State minus 1.5 Seattle has been one of the top juggernauts over the last two seasons, where they have shined in WCC play. A season ago they jumped out to an 8 and 0 conference record, and jumped out to a 7 and 0 conference record this season. Early February has plagued them as they sustained consecutive losses last year including a fifteen point loss at New Mexico State. On a current three game slide, tail the Aggies who have confidence coming off their first conference win.

Pick
(306635) Norfolk State
Analysis
Norfolk State minus 9 A rare neutral site game will take place today in the Legacy Classic between Norfolk State and Hampton. This is a main network telecast which will give both teams a national spotlight. While Hampton has the ability with a veteran team to hang around, expect Norfolk State to have no issues scoring at will. A barrage of points will help Norfolk State pull away from the number. Lay it with the Spartans.

Pick
(653) Butler
Analysis
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Marquette. The Bulldogs have lost their last 4 games SU/ATS, with each defeat by more than 20 points. But off those 4 blowout losses, we'll take Butler, as NCAA teams off 4+ SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points have covered 62.9% since 1990. Take Butler.

Pick
(604) Virginia Tech
Analysis
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Virginia. The Home team has dominated this cross-state rivalry, with a 14-5 ATS record since February 2013, including 6-0 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points. Lay the points with the Hokies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(610) Iowa State
Analysis
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Kansas. Kansas defeated the Cyclones by 2 points in Lawrence three weeks ago. We'll take ISU in the rematch, as it's 46-30 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-2 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Iowa State.

Pick
(550) Brooklyn Nets
Analysis
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Washington. The Nets were blown out by 43 points two nights ago, in Boston, while Washington lost last night to Portland. We'll take Brooklyn to bounce back, as NBA favorites (or PK) have covered 70% since 1990 vs. unrested foes. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(306662) Lamar
Analysis
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Northwestern St. The Demons have won five straight, including an 80-65 victory over the Cardinals last Saturday, and are now 7-3 in Southland Conference play. Unfortunately, they've covered just 22% off a win, when playing a revenge-minded opponent they defeated earlier in the season. We'll take Lamar in this rematch, as the Cardinals are 11-2-1 ATS as a home underdog priced from +5.5 to +13 points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(694) Indiana
Analysis
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue. The Boilermakers have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon in Bloomington. Unfortunately, for the #1-ranked Boilermakers, they're a horrid 37-60-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs, including 3-10-3 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss. With Indiana in off a 66-55 defeat at Maryland, we'll take the Hoosiers this afternoon to bounce back. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(696) Lsu
Analysis
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana State Tigers + the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide blew out LSU last month, 106-66. We'll take the revenge-minded Tigers this afternoon, as NCAA double-digit underdogs, playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat suffered earlier in the season, have covered 61% since 1990. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(774) St. Bonaventure
Analysis
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over Dayton. The Bonnies come into this home game off back to back upset wins over VCU and Richmond. We'll look for St. Bonaventure to make it three-in-a-row, as it's 10-0 ATS at home its last 10 off an ATS win. Take the Bonnies + the points.

Pick
(556) Oklahoma City Thunder
Analysis
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Houston. The Thunder have been the league's best point spread team this season, as they've covered 62.5%. They did lose their last two games SU/ATS, including an upset loss at the hands of the Rockets. We'll take OKC to avenge that defeat, as the Thunder have gone 66-45-2 ATS in non-division games when playing with revenge from an upset loss.

Pick
(562) Chicago Bulls
Analysis
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland. The Bulls have been dominant as a home favorite, as they're 30-15 ATS their last 45. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers have been poor as an underdog, as they've gone 32-49-2 ATS their last 83. That doesn't bode well for Portland tonight. Nor does the fact that the Blazers had to play last night, while Chicago had Friday off. Portland is a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS on the road when playing without rest, if their opponent was rested, and off a straight-up win. Lay the points with Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(822) Saint Marys Ca
Analysis
Gonzaga at St. Marys 10:30 ET Gaels (-) over Bulldogs- The West Coast Conference has been dominated by Gonzaga for the past 20 years that is for sure but every once in a while they encounter some competition and this time around and for the most part if they had any competition in the WCC it was from St. Marys. It always seems that the Gaels are a threat until they go head-to-head and then the Bulldogs bite. Well, their bark is louder than their bite this season and they can be had...and that is why they are underdogs here. Take ST. MARS!

Pick
(694) Indiana
Analysis
Purdue at Indiana 4:00 ET Hoosiers over Boilermakers- This one sets up perfectly and some times when you get too cocky about a situation it can all cave in on you. Geez, I hope that is not the case here where I have a club that was caught in a classic look-ahead road game and were destroyed as the Hoosiers fell at Maryland 66-55. Purdue has been taking care of business and have won nine straight since being upset 65-64 by Rutgers. As far as college basketball goes there is no in state rivalry any stronger than in Indiana, where basketball between these two long time adversaries has the attention of the entire state. Hoosiers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 home games and Purdue oddly enough is 0-7 ATS the last seven Saturdays. Take INDIANA!

Pick
(610) Iowa State
Analysis
Kansas at Iowa State 12:00 ET Cyclones (+) over Jayhawks- Kansas hold a serious lifetime advantage (189-66) over Iowa State and that is always a concern but this Cyclone team is well coached and takes pride in their defense. After dropping five straight to the number and three games straight-up the Jayhawks have gotten it together with a part of convincing wins over Kentucky and Kansas State. They gained a measure of revenge against the Wildcats having lost in their first meeting. That is the case with the Cyclones here who were beaten by the Jayhawks 62-60 on Jan.14 and will now even the score. Take IOWA STATE!

Pick
(699) Texas
Analysis
Texas at Kansas State 4:00 ET Longhorns over Wildcats- Its been a great run for Kansas State but I believe the early season flash has faded and that they are a go against club right now. It is sort like the woke up and said What are we doing here ...Texas has won six of seven since falling to Kansas State 116-103 in the highest scoring game in K State history and it will not repeat itself. The lack of a balanced offense is the Wildcats weakness and the Longhorns will exploit it. Take TEXAS!

Pick
(560) New Orleans Pelicans
Analysis
LA Lakers at New Orleans 6:00 ET Pelicans (+) over Lakers- New Orleans is fading fast without Zion Williamson and have lost 10 straight including a 111-106 loss at Dallas where they trailed by 31 points in the middle of the third quarter before Luca Doncic left the game. The Pelicans are beginning a four game home stand and are looking for their first win since Jan. 13.So, if so bad why is this line so short against the Lakers who are playing their best ball of the season. Brandon Ingram has returned for the Pels after a 29 game absence. Take NEW ORLEANS!

Pick
(783) Florida
Analysis
Florida at Kentucky 8:30 ET Wildcats (-) over Gators- These two squads have one thing in common and that they both have defeated Tennessee a team who has a chance to win the NCAA Tourney which neither of these can do. Both clubs are coming off victories but the gators win at Tennessee Wednesday will have them patting themselves on the back and now have the confidence to win here as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Im sure Calipari will have his Carts hungry but the Gators will be chomping. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take FLORIDA

Pick
(658) Oklahoma State
Analysis
This is a 3* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just a short favorite at home versus TCU, and the home team is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma State owns a 9-2 home record, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The Horned Frogs won't have leading scorer Mike Miles Jr. who is sidelined with a knee injury. The junior guard averages over 18 points per game, and logged a team high 30 minutes per game. It's a big loss for TCU. GL, Jesse Schule

Pick
(566) Denver Nuggets
Analysis
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule

Pick
(886) Akron
Analysis
These schools are close enough that visiting fans from Kent State can take an Uber to Akron to watch the first of what could be well be three meetings between these nearby rivals if they should meet up (as many expect) in the MAC Tourney final at Cleveland five weeks hence. The buzz in the Cuyahoga Valley right now, however, is being more generated by John Groce's Zips, who look to be ramping up a bid to retain their league crown with seven straight wins, including a few thumpers like Tuesday's beatdown of a dangerous Buffalo, the latest victim of stifling Akron defense. In a league where some entries regard work on the stop end as a waste of time, the Zips sure stand out, allowing a league-best 63 ppg. Indeed, the neighboring Golden Flashes are about the only other team in the loop that also emphasizes defense, as Rob Senderoff's boys only concede 64 ppg. Kent State also surely recalls getting flummoxed in last March's MAC title game by the Akron defense in a 75-55 Zips cruise that followed a pair of Golden Flash reg-season wins. But not sure KSU ready to gain revenge as it has lacked an extra gear lately, failing to cover three straight, not to mention being an upset victim to NIU in that stretch, with three-point shooting on the wane (just 30% that span). The hottest scorer in the MAC since Wally Szczerbiak is Zips G Xavier Castaneda, who has hit 32 exactly three times in the last four games (with F Enrique Freeman scoring 32 vs. Ohio U last Saturday the one time in the last four that Castaneda didn't) and has nailed 19 triples across that span to help fuel the current Akron surge. Play Akron

Pick
(543) Orlando Magic
Analysis
Play - Orlando Magic (Game 543). Edges - Magic: 20-8 SUATS in this series, including 8-0 ATS with same-season loss revenge … … Timberwolves: 6-11 ATS as a favorite when coming off a win this season, including With Minnesota coming off a revenge win over Golden State (4-11 SUATS in games after facing the Warriors), with another revenge game on tap with Denver (0-3 SUATS before the Nuggets), look for the Magic to avenge an 18-point home loss earlier this season against the Timberwolves. With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on Orlando. Thank you and good luck as always. **Selection ratings are: 1* free play, 2* quality opinion play, 3* top quality selection, 4* top quality strong selection, 5* top quality exceptional selection, 10* top quality highest rated selection. Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service. > Look: Marc’s Awesome Angle winning side in Super Bowl 57 is locked and loaded with terrific winning situations inside the game that are 100% ATS. Don’t miss the winner of this year’s Super Bowl game - get it not, you’ll be glad you did!

Pick
(870) Iona
Analysis
10* Iona (MAAC GOY) I'm expecting a lop-sided blowout here on Friday. Mount Saint Mary's is 7-15, while Iona is 14-7. Mount St. Mary's has lost two straight, most recenlty falling 73-62 to St. Peter's. Mount St. Mary's is ranked tenth offensively in the conference, and fourth on the defensive side. The Gaels are coming back from an 18-point deficit to beat Quinnipiac 78-72 and I expect Iona to keep that momentum rolling here. The Gaels are ranked first offensively in the conference, and ninth defensively. Iona catches a much needed break on the defensive end this evening though. After going 2-2 their last four in conference play, I expect the Gaels to come in focussed and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Iona! AAA Sports

Pick
Over
Analysis
10* OVER Magic/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Orlando went 1-1 at Philadelphia earlier in the week, and the total went "under" the number in each. Minnesota has won four of its last five, and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight. But that's important for us to note here, as the Wolves have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense defensively and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports

Pick
(539) Phoenix Suns
Analysis
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Friday Ultimate Underdog. Phoenix was on a solid run but lost to Atlanta by 32 points on Wednesday in its final game before hitting the road for a five-game east coast swing. Phoenix remains without Devin Booker as he has not played a full game since December 17 and it took a while to adjust as the Suns went 3-12 in their first 15 games without him but they figured it out for a bit by going 6-1 over the next seven games before the Atlanta loss. The Suns have struggled on the road like a lot of teams with an 8-17 record and while they are 4-10 as a road underdog, they do possess a winning record against the number. Boston snapped a three-game losing streak with that controversial overtime win over the Lakers and followed that up with a 43-point win over Brooklyn on Wednesday in a game they never trailed and led by as many as 49 points. That game is going to sway bettors toward the Celtics tonight and while they are the best team in the Eastern Conference, this one is a bit too high even with no Booker. Boston leads the Eastern Conference by two games over Milwaukee and three games over Philadelphia and while it comes in 20-6 at home, this one should be tighter than what the line is dictating. Here, we play on road teams revenging a same season loss, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Phoenix Suns

Pick
(884) San Diego State
Analysis
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CBB Friday Star Attraction. First place is on the line tonight at Viejas Arena and while this looks like a take at first glance with the big number, this is a statement game for San Diego St. in more ways than one. The Aztecs are coming off a nine-point loss at Nevada on Tuesday which snapped a four-game losing streak and they might have been guilty looking forward to this one. The players ended last practice with a closed door meeting as they will be fully focused after last season in which they lost all three meetings and Boise St. ended a San Diego St. streak of 164 consecutive wins when leading within five minutes of regulation. The Aztecs are 24-0 in their last 24 home games following a loss and payback is in store. Boise St. has arguably been the best team in the MWC with its 8-2 record as both losses were by a bucket on the road at New Mexico in overtime and at Nevada. The Broncos have won three straight games including a seven-point win at Air Force on Tuesday but that victory may have come at a costly price. Marcus Shaver, Jr. and Naje Smith both left the game and both are very questionable with ankle and knee injuries respectively. Wrong place, wrong time for the Broncos. 10* (884) San Diego St. Aztecs

Pick
Over
Analysis
Portland can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight over the Wizards. The 25-26 Blazers are coming off a win at Memphis, 122-112, as a 5.5-point dog. That makes four wins in their last five games. Washington is two-games under .500 with their 24-26 record. The Wizards look to extend their win streak to seven games both S/U and ATS tonight. They have scored at least 113 points in five of those six wins. They have been a decent over team at home, going 35-17-2 O/U in their last 54 home games. These teams have also gone over in 12 of their last 17 meetings. Moreover, five of the last six meetings in Washington have gone over. I'll take OVER here tonight.

Pick
(886) Akron
Analysis
This sets up as perhaps the biggest game of the season in the Mid American Conference as you’ve got first place Kent State traveling to face an Akron team that is a perfect 11-0 SU at home this season. The host Zips have won seven in a row overall, most recently destroying Buffalo on the road, 81-64 as short two-point favorites. Kent State has lost just four games all season. Three of those losses were to Gonzaga, Houston and Charlotte, three teams that have a combined SU record of 61-9. The Golden Flashes only conference loss came last week at Northern Illinois, 86-76, and that was a real shocker considering they were 13-point favorites. Now the Golden Flashes are a perfect 6-0 ATS the last three seasons as a road underdog of three points or less. But I feel that Akron’s home court advantage will be too difficult to overcome. The Zips are 31-4 SU L35 games here and we only have to lay a small number. They average 80.4 points/game at the J.A.R. This is a great team at defending the rim and Kent State is outside the Top 200 in 3-point shooting. Leading scorer Castaneda did not play against Ball State on January 6th, which is Akron’s only conference loss. He’s gone for 32 points in three of the last four games. 10*

Pick
(884) San Diego State
Analysis
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise State. This Mountain West Conference game is between two teams with 8-2 league records, so the winner will sit alone in first place. San Diego State was upset by Nevada on Tuesday, while Boise won that night at Air Force. And those results set up our play tonight. We'll lay the points with the homestanding Aztecs, as they fall into a 61% ATS system of mine. What we want to do -- in conference match-ups between teams with > .750 league records (at Conference Game #10 forward) -- is play on teams off a loss vs. foes off wins. Since 1990, our teams off a loss have cashed 61%. Take the Aztecs on Friday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(543) Orlando Magic
Analysis
Orlando at Minnesota 8:00 ET Magic (+) over Timberwolves- Minnesota is coming off an emotional 119-114 overtime win over Golden State and are 12-5 SU since Jan. 1. Orlando just split a pair of games at Philadelphia losing the second game 105-94 and the Magic are 7-1 ATS after a straight-up loss. For some unknown reason the Magic have dominated the Timberwolves going 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings overall and 12-3 ATS at Minnesota. Take ORLANDO!

Pick
(547) Atlanta Hawks
Analysis
Atlanta at Utah 9:00 ET Hawks (-) over Jazz- After dropping four of their previous five games Atlanta exploded offensively scoring 132 points while shooting 57% from the floor at Phoenix on Wednesday. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when playing on one days rest. Utah who surrendered 128 in their win over Toronto and are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing 125 points or more.Take ATLANTA!

Pick
(538) Indiana Pacers
Analysis
Sacramento at Indiana 7:00 ET Pacers (+) over Kings- Indiana is coming off their Megabucks win against the Lakers last night taking advantage of the points in a 111-112 loss. The Pacers had a double-digit fourth quarter lead and fell outright missing an open shot at the buzzer. At this point of the season it is surprising to see Sacramento leading leading the Pacific Division by 4-games over the Clippers. But, the Pacers are ready for their second of back-to-back games playing at home. Take INDIANA!

Pick
(534) Detroit Pistons
Analysis
This is a 4* play on DET. The Pistons aren't favored to win many games, but catching the Hornets on the second game of a back to back is as good a spot as you can get. Detroit has been quite competitive lately, losing by six at Dallas, losing by three versus Houston and winning outright at Brooklyn. The Pistons won at Charlotte in OT earlier this season, and Kelly Oubre Jr. was the Hornets leading scorer in that game. Oubre Jr. is out with a torn ligament in his hand, and Charlotte might be resting or limiting the minutes of some starters for tonight's game. LaMelo Ball was ejected in the 4th quarter last night in Chicago, and he's battled injuries all season long. It might be a good idea to rest him here in Detroit, or at least limit his minutes. GL, Jesse Schule

Pick
Under
Analysis
The under falls into four of my strongest NBA totals systems which463- are 894-661-71 (57.5%), 463-299-23 (60.8%), 286-190-21 (60.1%) and 121-69-10 (63.7%) to the Under since 2016. Since 1996, teams averaging 114-118 points per game versus teams allowing 108-114 points per game are 71-33 (68.3%) to the Under from Game 42 out following a loss of six or fewer points in contests with a total of 210 or more points. This situation is 39-13 (75%) to the Under since the beginning of the 2019 season. The foregoing system also contains a very good 35-11 (76.1%) subset angle that has covered the total by an average of 4.5 points per game and is 22-7 (75.9%) since 2019. Finally, the under is 17-5 in the past 22 meetings in New York between these conference foes. Take the under and invest with confidence. **Inner Circle Play**

Pick
(526) Chicago Bulls
Analysis
Quick turnaround from exactly one week ago at the Bee Hive when the Hornets flummoxed the Bulls with a rare display of defense, holding Chicago to a mere 60 points across the last three quarters, helping Charlotte to a 111-96 cruise in the latest matchup with Michael Jordan always the backdrop. Terry Rozier did most of the cutting for the Hornets with 28 points, though it was also one of the highlights in the recent "Mason Plumlee Show" as the ex-Dookie scored 21 with 12 boards, part of an impressive January narrative that saw him score 16.5 ppg and haul down 11.3 rpg for the month, also greatly increasing his value at the upcoming trade deadline, where he figures to have some suitors. Charlotte's recent form also hasn't been bad with covers in three straight, including that win over the Bulls and subsequently the Heat, and pushing the Bucks into the 4th Q on Tuesday, when LaMelo Ball led the charge with 27 points. Meanwhile, like Sisyphus, as soon as Chicago begins to push the boulder up the hill, it eventually rolls backwards, as Billy Donovan's Bulls haven't been able to push a win streak beyond three in a back-and-forth season, and currently have lost three of four. But the slumps usually haven't last long, either, and Chicago did roll by 18 the last time the Hornets invaded United Center back on Nov. 2, even with DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVIne combining for only 19 points (for the season, it's a cool 50 ppg combined). This is also Game 2 of an important homestand in front of the trade deadline, where the Bulls could go in a variety of directions. Given the nature of these teams and this season, we shade the revenge angle and a brief delay for GM Marc Eversley to decide what he might or might not do before deadline day (February 9). Play Bulls

Pick
(520) Indiana Pacers
Analysis
10* PACERS (NON-CONF GOM) The Lakers have been playing better over the last month. They're coming off a big 129-123 OT win at the Knicks, after dropping the first two games of their road trip at Boston and Brooklyn. The Pacers actually beat the Lakers 116-115 in LA back at the start of the season. I'm not reading anything into the "revenge" angle here though. LA finishes its road trip at New Orleans, and it could very well be caught "looking ahead" to that Conference matchup. The Pacers are just 1-9 in their last ten and they enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That's significant to note here though as Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. With Sacramento coming to town tomorrow, Indiana can't afford to look past the "on again, off again" Lakers; grab the points, the play is the Pacers! AAA Sports

Pick
Over
Analysis
10* OVER JMU/ODU (SUN BELT TOM) James Madison is 15-8, while ODU is 13-9. These are two teams in need of a victory here, and I expect this competitive like atmosphere to produce a much higher final combined score than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. James Madison actually averages 82.9 PPG, and it has seven players averaging between 7.9 and 13 PPG. ODU averages 67.5, but after playing to seven straight "unders," I feel this O/U line is now just a bit too low for the home side, as note that the Monarchs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports

Pick
(744) Uab
Analysis
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Florida Atlantic is the hottest team in the country as it has reeled off 20 consecutive wins and the Owls have been a covering machine as they are 15-4-1 ATS in those games yet despite all of this success, they are not favored tonight. They are 11-0 in Conference-USA but the leads is just 2.5 games over North Texas but at least four games over everyone else and the gap can be close a little bit tonight. Florida Atlantic is 8-1 on the road including a 5-0 record in the conference where the two closest wins took place against North Texas and Florida International by four points each. UAB has been a major disappointment to most observers as it is just 6-5 in the conference but that record could be a lot better. All six wins have come by at least six points while four of the five losses were by a combined eight points, two coming in overtime on the road so even playing those to the median would put the Blazers at 8-3. They have won two straight games following a blowout win at Rice and they head back home where they are 11-2 with one loss coming against Western Kentucky by a bucket. Jelly Walker has been sidelined for five straight games but is a gametime decision tonight. 10* (744) UAB Blazers

Pick
(520) Indiana Pacers
Analysis
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. It has been a tough stretch for the Pacers as they went 1-10 without leading scorer and assist man point guard Tyrese Haliburton, but the team has had three full days off starting on Monday before playing Thursday in the first of three home games and he is expected to finally be back in the lineup tonight. Seven of those losses came on the road and the three losses at home were against current playoff situated teams and now they are getting the benefit of the line based on the recent stretch and not the current roster in hand. The Pacers are still a solid 16-10 at home and are still in the playoff mix as they are currently No. 10 and part of the play-in tournament and just three games out of the No. 7 spot. The Lakers bounced back from the temper tantrum game against Boston and a loss at Brooklyn with an overtime win over the Knicks on Tuesday and they remain two games out of the playoff standings in the Western Conference. They are now 11-16 on the road and while they have thrived against losing teams, this is not considered the typical losing team as it was down their best player for three weeks. Los Angeles will be overvalued nearly every night and that is no exception tonight. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 56-27 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Indiana Pacers

Pick
(788) South Dakota
Analysis
This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA COYOTES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Oral Roberts has taken control of the Summit League as it leads the conference by four games but there is a big battle for second place as six teams are within two games of each other including both teams here. South Dakota is coming off a 1-2 roadtrip that concluded with a 50-point loss at Oral Roberts so this is a good bounce back situation at home while getting a great line on top of it. The Coyotes are 5-6 in the conference following a 3-1 start so they have been struggling of late and this is a big two-game homestand, where they are 6-4 on the season, against the North Dakota teams before hitting the road for three more games. North Dakota St. is now 6-4 in the conference following a 16-point win as home against rival North Dakota to conclude a 1-2 homestand which followed a five-game winning streak after a 0-2 conference start. It hits the road where it is 4-7 which includes a 3-2 record in the Summit but those three wins were against the three worst teams in the conference that are a combined 7-25. The Bison won the first meeting by 12 points which sets up a revenge payback spot for South Dakota. Great value with the home team here with the wrong team favored. 10* (788) South Dakota Coyotes

Pick
(806) Byu
Analysis
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. BYU played a great game last time out as it took undefeated St. Mary's to the final possession losing by just one point which was its third straight loss to fall to 4-5 in the conference and like every other season, will be playing for third place in the West Coast Conference. The Cougars had won seven straight games prior to a very tough scheduling stretch of late as four of their previous six games before the Gaels were on the road. They are 9-3 overall at home which includes a 2-2 record in the conference with the other loss also coming by one point against 7-1 Gonzaga. Loyola-Marymount has been the surprise of the conference as the Lions are 6-3 which includes handing Gonzaga its only loss in the WCC as they won by a point on the road as a 16.5-point underdog. That did not provide any sort of letdown as they have a pair of blowout wins following that victory but those were against Pepperdine and Portland, which are a combined 3-15 in the conference and both of those were at home. Loyola-Marymount now is back on the road where they are 3-4 with the other two wins combined against 3-6 Portland and a four-point win at Grand Canyon. 10* (806) BYU Cougars

Pick
(820) Uc Davis
Analysis
This is a play on the UC DAVIS AGGIES for our Big West Game of the Month. Hawaii opened the season 5-1 that included winning the Diamond Head Classic against a weak field before losing a pair of games and then the Warriors went on a roll with seven straight wins, six of which were on the island and the lone road win over that stretch was against 3-7 UC San Diego. They are right in the thick of the Big West Conference race as they are 7-3, good for solo fourth place and a game and a half behind first place Santa Barbara. Hawaii is 2-2 on the road with the other victory being an impressive one against 8-2 UC Riverside but are in a tough spot here. UC Davis is coming off a road split last weekend and comes in 13-9 overall including a 6-4 record in the conference so it is right there as well and the Aggies could be even better. All four of those losses came against teams with a winning record and a combined 28-11 in the conference and three of those were by a total of 10 points and the last two coming by five points. The only exception was an eight-point loss at Hawaii which sets up a revenge spot here and the Aggies are back home where they are 6-3 with the only other loss being a nonconference defeat against Pacific by two points. 10* (820) UC Davis Aggies

Pick
(761) Ipfw
Analysis
Horizon League action has 6th place IP Fort Wayne taking on 5th place Oakland. IPFW is 14-9 overall and 6-6 in conference plays. The Mastodons are coming off a loss at Cleveland State, 74-79, as a 3.5 point dog. This team can score as they average 75.1 ppg on the season and allow 67.3 ppg. They are also 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Oakland Grizzlies may only have nine wins, but seven of those have come in conference play. However, they have lost two straight games and are 2-3 their last five. They are also 2-4 ATS their last six games. The Grizzlies are also just 2-7 in their last nine home games. The road team has covered the last five meetings in this series and the dog is 7-3 ATS the last 10. I'll take the road dog here on Thursday. Play IPFW. Oakland is 9-14 overall and 7-5 in conference play.

Pick
(755) Northern Kentucky
Analysis
Northern Kentucky hits the road to face Robert Morris in Horizon League play Thursday night. The hosts have won and covered three straight. The visitors just had a four-game win streak snapped over the weekend. It was a one-point loss for NKU at Milwaukee on Saturday, 75-74 as 6.5 point favorites. Just a brutal result for the Norse, who were up 20 - at home - at the half. Milwaukee used a stunning 24-4 second half run to turn the game on its head. As a result, Northern Kentucky should be VERY motivated here. They know it should be a five-game win streak coming into tonight’s tilt. Prior to their current three-game run, Robert Morris had lost five of six. So I’m not buying the Colonials. Especially since NKU already beat RMU this year, back in December, 60-56 as seven point favorites. While the Norse didn’t cover the spread at home, tonight all we need is a straight up victory. 10*

Pick
(520) Indiana Pacers
Analysis
Indiana had been a real pleasant surprise this NBA season, but has now dropped 10 of its last 11 games. Just to illustrate how low expectations were here, the team has already exceeded its preseason win projection. Expectations are always high for the Lakers, but they always seem to fall short. Right now, LeBron and company find themselves third from the bottom in the Western Conference standings. LA did just go on the road and beat NY in what was the second night of a back to back for them. But now we’re talking about a fourth road game in six days. I just don’t have faith in this Lakers team. They give up 121 points/game on the road and even with James & Davis on the floor, the net efficiency rating isn’t as high as you’d think. The Pacers are 16-9-1 ATS at home this year. I like them getting points. If Tyrese Haliburton could return (questionable), that would be an added bonus. 10*

Pick
(829) California
Analysis
At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Colorado. The Buffaloes are 4-12 ATS their last 16 as a favorite, and 1-8 ATS their last nine vs. California when favored by 5+ points. Take the Golden Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(306562) Stetson
Analysis
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over North Alabama. Stetson comes into tonight's game with an 11-10 record after dropping its two previous games, but both were on the road. Tonight's game is at home. And the Hatters are 5-1 at home this season, and have covered the point spread at home by an average of 4.75 ppg. Meanwhile, North Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. .475 (or better) foes off a loss. Take Stetson minus the points.

Pick
(744) Uab
Analysis
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers over Florida Atlantic. We played against the Owls last Saturday and got the $$$ with Western Kentucky. We'll come right back and go against Florida Atlantic again, as it will be taking on a UAB squad which seeks revenge from a narrow 2-point loss last month. The Owls are 11-0 in Conference USA play this season. But NCAA teams with an 11-0 (or better) conference record have cashed just 36% away from home when they were not favored by more than 4 points against a revenge-minded foe. Take UAB. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Pick
(524) New York Knicks
Analysis
Miami at New York 7:30 ET Knicks over Heat- Miami as usual is making a move toward the playoffs winning four of their last five and have moved into the final guaranteed playoff spot (6th seed). New York seems to be fading having lost two straight and six of their past eight games. The Knicks who led the NBA in scoring defense when Tom Thibodeau took over but have allowed 122 PPG the last eight outings. Coach T has pointed out that the Knicks were 7-1 in their previous eight games when they surrendered just 103.6 PPG. Take NEW YORK!

Pick
(531) Los Angeles Clippers
Analysis
LA Clippers at Milwaukee 10:00 ET Clippers (+) over Bucks- This has got to be one...one of the games I must release. Milwaukee has their top three players in uniform and have won five game in-a-row and this will be their third straight home game. LA is on a six game road trip and finally have both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard on the floor at the same time and the results are positive. Clips have won six of seven and are 4-1 ATS on the road and keep this one close if not win it. Take LA CLIPPERS!

Pick
(520) Indiana Pacers
Analysis
LA Lakers at Indiana 7:00 ET Pacers (+) over Lakers- After taking the night off against Brooklyn Lebron posted a triple-double against the Knicks in a 129-123 overtime victory at Madison Square Garden. This is the fourth game on a five-game eastern swing for LA who dropped the first two to Boston and Brooklyn. Indiana is sinking fast and has lost their last three and 10-of-11. In spite of their current play the Pacers and Lakers have the same record 24-28. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Indiana. Pacers are 16-10 SU at home and LA is 4-9 ATS on the road against teams with winning home records. Take INDIANA!

Pick
(675) Pittsburgh
Analysis
Jeff Capel's Duke roots means he's always going to be ultra-focused against hated UNC (he's beaten the Heels two straight), and doubt the Panthers are going to lack confidence into Chapel Hill. Partly because they've already beaten UNC this season, winning a tense 76-74 verdict at the Petersen Center on December 30 at just about the same time the Pitt football team was winning the Sun Bowl in equally dramatic fashion against UCLA. Capel has had several heroes this season but on that Friday afternoon it was ex-Texas Tech and West Virginia wing Jamarius Burton, who was dealing and scored 31, compensating for some subpar three-point shooting by Pitt (just 5 for 25). Hubert Davis and his boys have only lost once since, and in that one at Virginia a few weeks ago they lost Armando Bacot early in the first half, while there's much excitement lately at the Dean Dome due to the recent efforts of 6-11 Northwestern transfer Pete Nance, who was added in hopes he could somewhat replicate Brady Manek's Stretch-4 that fueled the Heels down the stretch last March and just hit Syracuse for 21 points in his best effort of the season last Tuesday on the road. But with covers in seven straight away from home, and high-quality outright wins over Miami, Virginia, NC State, and the Heels, this assignment doesn't look too big for Capel and the Panthers, who came into the Dean Dome with a much lesser team and pulled another stunner last February 16. Play Pitt

Pick
Under
Analysis
Maybe the Warriors are ready to flip the switch, with wins and covers in three straight. Now might be a good time to pick up the pace, especially as the champs haven't done better than 7-3 in any ten-game stretch this season. To get to 50 wins, Steve Kerr's guys would need to go 24-8 the rest of the way, so pretty soon the emphasis will be just to make the playoff field and stay out of the play-in round, and hope the team catches fire in the postseason after winning 45 or so in the regular season. Though the away mark has improved over the past month, Golden State is still just 7-18 SU on the road; only the Pistons, Spurs and Rockets are worse. It's also the first of back-to-backs with Denver on deck tomorrow, meaning Klay Thompson (who hasn't played both ends of a back-to-back yet) likely sits out one of these two. Still, the first meeting back on Nov. 27 was one of only three times the Wolves have allowed more than 130 points per 100 possessions, no surprise when looking at a 137-114 scoreline the wrong way. Chris Finch doesn't need to remind his troops, who recently recorded their best five-game stretch of defense (105.1 points per 100 possessions) in two months. That has us a bit more interested in the Wolves recording their fifth straight "under" than some of the persuasive cases for either side (including Minnesota and its 11-5 SU mark in just-completed January). Play Warriors-Wolves "Under"

Pick
(506) Philadelphia 76ers
Analysis
Play - Philadelphia 76ers (Game 506). Edges - 76ers: 4-0 SUATS at home in conference games when coming off a loss as a double-digit favorite … Magic: 3-7 ATS in this series, including 0-5 SUATS when not taking 11 or more points … We seal the deal noting that Orlando upset Philadelphia by 10 points as a 10-point dog here on Monday. With that we recommend a 3* play on Philadelphia. Thank you and good luck as always. **Selection ratings are: 1* free play, 2* quality opinion play, 3* top quality selection, 4* top quality strong selection, 5* top quality exceptional selection, 10* top quality highest rated selection. Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service. > Like yesterday’s winning call on TCU, you can score with Marc’s College Hoops 100% ATS Key Play. Best of all it’s locked and loaded - get it now!

Pick
Under
Analysis
10* UNDER Illinois Chicago/Illinois State. A couple of 9-14 bottom feeders collide here in the Missouri Valley Conference on Wednesday night and in my opinion, I expect points to be at a premium. Each side has played to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect those trends to end here. The Flames only average 67 PPG, while allowing 70.7. They catch a break here today on the defensive end facing Illinois State, which averages just 66.2 PPG, while allowing 68.6. When these teams faced off back on December 28th, it was UIC which came away with the 55-51 win as a one-point favorite. Look for these hungry and evenly matched teams to play to a similar, lower-scoring "under" here as well! AAA Sports

Pick
(728) Utah State
Analysis
This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. Of the top five teams in the MWC, all at 16 wins and at least 6-3 in the conference, Nevada and Boise St. are projected as two of the final eight teams out so quality wins are huge at this point. So there is work to be done for the Aggies and this will be a big win on the docket going forward to make a move up. They are coming off a blowout win at Fresno St. on Saturday to improve to 6-3 in the MWC which is a game and a half behind first place Boise St. and San Diego St. Two of the three losses came against those teams as well as a loss against 7-3 Nevada but all of those were on the road and the Aggies come into tonight with a 10-1 record at home with the lone blemish being an anomaly early in the season against Weber St. as a 17-point chalk. New Mexico is tied with Utah St. at 6-3 in the conference and after a 15-0 start, the Lobos have come back down to earth somewhat by going 4-3 over their last seven games. They are squarely in the NCAA Tournament as a projected No. 10 seed thanks to a pair of huge road wins at St. Mary's and San Diego St. They are just 4-5 ATS over their last nine games which shows a lot of closer than expected games as they were favorites in seven of those. 10* (728) Utah St. Aggies

Pick
(711) Northern Iowa
Analysis
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS for our CBB Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. A big matchup takes place in the MVC here as the top part of the conference is a logjam with the first eight teams separated by just two games so the finish of the regular season should be awesome. Northern Iowa and Drake both have identical 8-4 records but that line is not reflecting that here. The Panthers had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Indiana St. on Saturday in a game that was close throughout until the Sycamores pulled away late. They are just 3-4 on the road but the two worst losses came very early in the season when the chemistry of this relatively new team had not come together and the two recent losses came well within what they are getting tonight. Drake suffered a pair of road losses at Southern Illinois and Missouri St. but has won six of its last seven games since then including a very impressive 18-point win at first place Belmont on Sunday and that is playing into this line. The Bulldogs are 10-1 at home and have defeated similar competition here but not once were they favored by a number this big as laying 6.5 points against Missouri St. and Indiana St. were the closest and both of those resulted in one possession games. 10* (711) Northern Iowa Panthers

Pick
(502) Detroit Pistons
Analysis
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Wednesday Three Pack. Washington is the hottest team in the NBA as it has won six straight games while covering all six of those and this looks like an easy spot to make in seven in a row but this is far from a guarantee even though it is against the second worst team in the NBA. Despite the early money coming in on the Wizards, this line has come down in a lot of places so the reverse line movement makes this a more confident take. The recent streak includes five road victories but the Wizards are still 12-16 on the highway and the run has vaulted Washington into the No. 9 spot for the play-in tournament but it still has a long way to go. The Wizards have been a top ten team on both ends of the floor as far as shooting percentage goes but that has not translated into efficiency as they are No. 20 offensively and No. 16 defensively. Detroit has lost two straight and six of its last seven games and it is in a great spot catching Washington on its last game of this five-game roadtrip. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Detroit Pistons

Pick
(663) Providence
Analysis
A Big East Battle between two ranked teams here today as No 17 Providence takes on No 15 Xavier. Providence and Xavier are in a three way tie at the top of the Big East with 9-2 record. Both also have 17-5 overall records. The Providence Friars have been a good spread team this year, with a 14-8 ATS record overall. The Friars have won three straight games and covered all three, including last game over Villanova, 70-65, as a pick'em on the road. The Friars are 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the road and outscoring their hosts, 72.4 to 68.5 ppg. Providence is 12-2 ATS their last 14 games and 6-1 ATS their last seven on the road. The Xavier Musketeers are coming off a loss at Creighton, 67-84, as a 6-point dog. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 in this series. That's who I am on today, take Providence.

Pick
(675) Pittsburgh
Analysis
ACC Clash here on Wednesday has 15-7 Pitt taking on 15-8 North Carolina. Pittsburgh is third in the ACC with a 8-3 record and UNC is 4th with a 7-3 record. Pitt has won two straight games, including last game vs Miami, 71-68, as a pick'em. That makes the Panthers 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS in their last five games. Pitt is 5-2 S/U on the road and a perfect 7-0 vs the spread. They have also outscored their hosts by a 75.4 to 66.6 ppg average. Pitt has been great to bettors with a 14-3 ATS mark their last 17 overall games. NCU might have 15 wins, but unlike Pitt they have not been good to bettors. The Tar Heels are just 7-13-1 ATS overall and 5-5 ATS at home. The Heels have won four straight and six of their last seven. However, they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a winning record above 60 percent. I'll take the points with a very good covering team here tonight. Play Pittsburgh.

Pick
(69) Carolina Hurricanes
Analysis
The Hurricanes have won 6 straight, averaging over 4 goals a game in those wins , which is a step up on their 3.3 goal season's average. They are on back to back game tonight, but have a solid record in this situation. The Hurricanes are an exceptional road team, facing a Sabres team that is below .500 at home. Carolina is very good on defense and on the PK, and especially good at limiting shots. They will need to be , since the Sabres are tops in the league on offense. The Sabres are 5-1 in recent action, and while their offense is down slightly, they appear to be a little more defensively responsible, allowing 3 goals or less in their recent games. Tage Thompson is day to day, and with the all star break just one day away, he will probably be rested. It is a hit to the Sabres offense if he is MIA. In spite of the Sabres being at home and better rested, I am wagering on the 'Canes tonight. Carolina is a very streaky team, on a very solid run. Raanta, likely starts tonight in net and he has three shutouts in his last 6 starts in spite of infrequent usage. Take the Hurricanes to steal another road game.